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Realistic simulation of virtual multi-scale, multi-modal patient trajectories using Bayesian networks and sparse auto-encoders

Authors: Meemansa Sood; Akrishta Sahay; Reagon Karki; Mohammad Asif Emon; Henri Vrooman; Martin Hofmann-Apitius; Holger Fröhlich;

Realistic simulation of virtual multi-scale, multi-modal patient trajectories using Bayesian networks and sparse auto-encoders

Abstract

AbstractTranslational research of many disease areas requires a longitudinal understanding of disease development and progression across all biologically relevant scales. Several corresponding studies are now available. However, to compile a comprehensive picture of a specific disease, multiple studies need to be analyzed and compared. A large number of clinical studies is nowadays conducted in the context of drug development in pharmaceutical research. However, legal and ethical constraints typically do not allow for sharing sensitive patient data. In consequence there exist data “silos”, which slow down the overall scientific progress in translational research. In this paper, we suggest the idea of a virtual cohort (VC) to address this limitation. Our key idea is to describe a longitudinal patient cohort with the help of a generative statistical model, namely a modular Bayesian Network, in which individual modules are represented as sparse autoencoder networks. We show that with the help of such a model we can simulate subjects that are highly similar to real ones. Our approach allows for incorporating arbitrary multi-scale, multi-modal data without making specific distribution assumptions. Moreover, we demonstrate the possibility to simulate interventions (e.g. via a treatment) in the VC. Overall, our proposed approach opens the possibility to build sufficiently realistic VCs for multiple disease areas in the future.

Keywords

Models, Statistical, Databases, Factual, EMC OR-01, Brain, Bayes Theorem, Parkinson Disease, 600, Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide, EMC NIHES-03-30-02, Article, Cohort Studies, Translational Research, Biomedical, User-Computer Interface, Deep Learning, Alzheimer Disease, Disease Progression, Humans, Computer Simulation, Longitudinal Studies

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    9
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
9
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
Green
gold