
Summary We propose a model for unbalanced longitudinal data, where the univariate margins can be selected arbitrarily and the dependence structure is described with the help of a D-vine copula. We show that our approach is an extremely flexible extension of the widely used linear mixed model if the correlation is homogeneous over the considered individuals. As an alternative to joint maximum–likelihood a sequential estimation approach for the D-vine copula is provided and validated in a simulation study. The model can handle missing values without being forced to discard data. Since conditional distributions are known analytically, we easily make predictions for future events. For model selection, we adjust the Bayesian information criterion to our situation. In an application to heart surgery data our model performs clearly better than competing linear mixed models.
FOS: Computer and information sciences, longitudinal data, Likelihood Functions, Models, Statistical, Linear regression; mixed models, vine copulas, Statistics, Nonparametric, Applications of statistics to biology and medical sciences; meta analysis, linear mixed models, unbalanced setting, Methodology (stat.ME), Research Design, Linear Models, Humans, Computer Simulation, Cardiac Surgical Procedures, repeated measurements, Characterization and structure theory for multivariate probability distributions; copulas, Statistics - Methodology
FOS: Computer and information sciences, longitudinal data, Likelihood Functions, Models, Statistical, Linear regression; mixed models, vine copulas, Statistics, Nonparametric, Applications of statistics to biology and medical sciences; meta analysis, linear mixed models, unbalanced setting, Methodology (stat.ME), Research Design, Linear Models, Humans, Computer Simulation, Cardiac Surgical Procedures, repeated measurements, Characterization and structure theory for multivariate probability distributions; copulas, Statistics - Methodology
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