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State and Mode Estimation for Discrete-Time Jump Markov Systems

State and mode estimation for discrete-time jump Markov systems
Authors: Dufour, François; Elliott, Robert; Malcolm, W.P.;

State and Mode Estimation for Discrete-Time Jump Markov Systems

Abstract

Summary: We compute new state and mode estimation algorithms for discrete-time Gauss--Markov models whose parameter sets switch according to a known Markov law. An important feature of our algorithms is that they are based upon the exact filter dynamics computed in [\textit{R. J. Elliott}, \textit{F. Dufour} and \textit{D. Sworder}, IEEE Trans. Autom. Control 41, 1807--1810 (1996; Zbl 0873.93077)]. The fundamental and well-known obstacle in estimation of jump Markov systems is managing the geometrically growing history of candidate hypotheses. In our scheme, we address this issue by proposing an extension of an idea due to Viterbi. Our scheme maintains a fixed number of candidate paths in a history, each identified by an optimal subset of estimated mode probabilities. We compute finite-dimensional suboptimal filters and smoothers, which estimate the hidden state process and the mode probability. Our smoothers are based upon a duality between forward and backward dynamics. Further, our smoothing algorithms are general and can be configured into the standard forms of fixed point, fixed lag, and fixed interval smoothers. A computer simulation is included to demonstrate performance.

Countries
France, Australia
Keywords

Data smoothing in stochastic control theory, [MATH.MATH-OC] Mathematics [math]/Optimization and Control [math.OC], smoothing, filtering, Filtering in stochastic control theory, 519, reference probability, hybrid dynamics, jump Markov systems, [SHS.ECO] Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance, Viterbi algorithm, Signal detection and filtering (aspects of stochastic processes)

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
29
Average
Top 10%
Top 10%
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