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Open Engineering
Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
Data sources: Crossref
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Open Engineering
Article . 2022
Data sources: DOAJ
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Spatial mixture modeling for analyzing a rainfall pattern: A case study in Ireland

Authors: Hussein Amjad; Kadhem Safaa K.;

Spatial mixture modeling for analyzing a rainfall pattern: A case study in Ireland

Abstract

Abstract This study investigates the spatial heterogeneity in the maximum monthly rainfall amounts reported by stations in Ireland from January 2018 to December 2020. The heterogeneity is modeled by the Bayesian normal mixture model with different ranks. The selection of the best model or the degree of heterogeneity is implemented using four criteria which are the modified Akaike information criterion, the modified Bayesian information criterion, the deviance information criterion, and the widely applicable information criterion. The estimation and model selection process is implemented using the Gibbs sampling. The results show that the maximum monthly rainfall amounts are accommodated in two and three components. The goodness of fit for the selected models is checked using the graphical plots including the probability density function and cumulative distribution function. This article also contributes via the spatial determination of return level or rainfall amounts at risk with different return periods using the prediction intervals constructed from the posterior predictive distribution.

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Keywords

rainfall amounts, cumulative distribution, posterior predictive distribution, bayesian mixture modeling, prediction interval, TA1-2040, Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Average
Average
Average
Green
gold