Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Applied Energyarrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
Applied Energy
Article . 2021 . Peer-reviewed
License: Elsevier TDM
Data sources: Crossref
versions View all 1 versions
addClaim

This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.

You have already added 0 works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.

Ensemble wind speed forecasting with multi-objective Archimedes optimization algorithm and sub-model selection

Authors: Lifang Zhang; Zhenkun Liu; Xinsong Niu; Jianzhou Wang;

Ensemble wind speed forecasting with multi-objective Archimedes optimization algorithm and sub-model selection

Abstract

Abstract Wind energy is becoming increasingly competitive and promising for renewable energy profiles. Accurate and reliable wind speed prediction is crucial for the effective exploitation of wind energy. However, previous studies have generally ignored the importance of capturing both linear and non-linear wind speed characteristics and selecting forecasting sub-models objectively, resulting in poor forecasting performance. To bridge these gaps, a novel ensemble forecasting system is proposed by integrating the decomposition strategy, sub-model selection, and ensemble point and interval prediction based on the newly proposed multi-objective Archimedes optimization algorithm, which has been demonstrated to be effective at the theoretical and empirical levels for providing reliable wind speed forecasting results. Based on hourly-resolution wind speed data from three datasets of Shandong Peninsula, China, three experiments and discussions are conducted. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed system is capable of obtaining a high degree of precision and reliability for both point and interval forecasting relative to other comparative models. Thus, it can provide credible references for power system dispatching and management.

Related Organizations
  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    92
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 1%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 1%
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
92
Top 1%
Top 10%
Top 1%
Upload OA version
Are you the author of this publication? Upload your Open Access version to Zenodo!
It’s fast and easy, just two clicks!