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Temporal Trends in the Association Between Female Sex and Ischemic Stroke Among Patients With Atrial Fibrillation

Authors: Mark T. Mills; Tommaso Bucci; Peter Calvert; Dhiraj Gupta; Gregory Y. H. Lip;

Temporal Trends in the Association Between Female Sex and Ischemic Stroke Among Patients With Atrial Fibrillation

Abstract

Background Female sex has historically been associated with higher risk of ischemic stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation. However, contemporary European studies suggest this association may have attenuated and become nonsignificant over recent years. This study aims to characterize temporal trends in cardiovascular outcomes in a large, global cohort of patients with atrial fibrillation. Methods Nonanticoagulated patients with newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation were identified from a global federated research network (TriNetX) between 2000 and 2019. One‐year ischemic stroke risk and risk ratios were calculated for women versus men. Secondary outcomes included all‐cause death, myocardial infarction, heart failure, and dementia. Cohorts were compared before and after adjustment for age and comorbidities. Results Overall, 1 204 852 patients were included (44% women). Unadjusted risk of ischemic stroke increased in women (1.75% to 4.24%) and men (1.13% to 3.55%) from 2000–2004 to 2015–2019, while all‐cause death decreased over the same periods (women, 10.36% to 7.79%; males, 10.76% to 7.59%). After adjustment, female sex remained independently associated with higher risk of ischemic stroke, although the risk decreased over time (2000–2004: risk ratio, 1.54 [95% CI, 0.94–2.51]; 2015–2019: risk ratio, 1.09 [95% CI, 1.06–1.13]). After adjustment, male sex was associated with risk of all‐cause death and myocardial infarction, while risk of dementia and heart failure was similar between sexes. Conclusions Between 2000 and 2019, the risk of ischemic stroke increased among nonanticoagulated patients with atrial fibrillation. While the association between female sex and ischemic stroke decreased over time, female sex remained associated with a higher stroke risk in 2015 to 2019 after adjustment.

Keywords

atrial fibrillation; female sex; risk prediction; stroke; temporal trends, Aged, 80 and over, Male, Time Factors, Incidence, Cause of Death/trends, Middle Aged, Risk Assessment, stroke, risk prediction, Sex Factors, temporal trends, Ischemic Stroke/epidemiology, Risk Factors, RC666-701, Humans, Diseases of the circulatory (Cardiovascular) system, Female, atrial fibrillation, Atrial Fibrillation/complications, female sex, Aged, Retrospective Studies, Original Research

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
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