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A construction of continuous-time ARMA models by iterations of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes

Authors: Arratia Quesada, Argimiro Alejandro; Cabaña, Alejandra; Cabaña, Enrique M.;

A construction of continuous-time ARMA models by iterations of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes

Abstract

We present a construction of a family of continuous-time ARMA processes based on p iterations of the linear operator that maps a Lévy process onto an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. The construction resembles the procedure to build an AR(p) from an AR(1). We show that this family is in fact a subfamily of the well-known CARMA(p,q) processes, with several interesting advantages, including a smaller number of parameters. The resulting processes are linear combinations of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes all driven by the same L´evy process. This provides a straightforward computation of covariances, a state-space model representation and methods for estimating parameters. Furthermore, the discrete and equally spaced sampling of the process turns to be an ARMA(p, p-1) process. We propose methods for estimating the parameters of the iterated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process when the noise is either driven by a Wiener or a more general Lévy process, and show simulations and applications to real data.

Peer Reviewed

Keywords

Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Matemàtiques i estadística, Lévy process, Classificació AMS::62 Statistics::62N Survival analysis and censored data, :Matemàtiques i estadística [Àrees temàtiques de la UPC], Processos estocàstics, :62 Statistics::62G Nonparametric inference [Classificació AMS], Lévy, Continuous arma, Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, Lévy process, Continuous ARMA, stationary process, Stochastic processes, Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Matemàtiques i estadística::Estadística matemàtica, :Matemàtiques i estadística::Estadística matemàtica [Àrees temàtiques de la UPC], Lévy processes, 60G10, 62M10, 62M99 60M99, Stationary process, Processos de, Classificació AMS::62 Statistics::62G Nonparametric inference, Lévy, Processos de, Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, :62 Statistics::62N Survival analysis and censored data [Classificació AMS], stationary process, Continuous ARMA

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popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
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This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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impulse
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