
This paper considers the role played by the evolution of technological conditions in the rise and fall of the rules-based system. I argue that the rules-based system was in fact endogenous to the economic and technological conditions under which it came to be: when industries are competitive, companies are covering their cost of capital, workers are being paid their marginal product, everyone is making a living, no-one is getting obscenely rich, and participation in trade is a win-win proposition. This is approximately the pre-1980s world of limited economic rents, a constant labour share of national incomes and constant returns to scale, as described by the Kaldor facts. The subsequent rise of economic rents induced strategic behaviour which is incompatible with a rules-based allocation of production. Accordingly, the economic doctrines and governance systems developed for the low-rent and low-uncertainty world of the mature industrial economy are not appropriate for today’s rent-rich and highly uncertain world of strategic behaviour and need to be fundamentally reviewed on a first principles basis.
Strategic Trade Policy, Economic Rents, Rules-Based System, Uncertainty, Industrial Policy, Technological Change, WTO
Strategic Trade Policy, Economic Rents, Rules-Based System, Uncertainty, Industrial Policy, Technological Change, WTO
| selected citations These citations are derived from selected sources. This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 0 | |
| popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Average | |
| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Average | |
| impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Average |
