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Abstract We develop a model of the global financial cycle with one key ingredient: the international demand for safe dollar assets. The model matches patterns of dollar borrowing and currency mismatch, the U.S. external balance sheet, exorbitant privilege, spillovers of the U.S. monetary policy to the rest of the world, and the dollar as a global risk factor. In doing so, we lay out a novel transmission mechanism through which the U.S. monetary policy affects the currency market and the global economy. The global financial cycle is a dollar cycle.
safe asset demand, Financial networks (including contagion, systemic risk, regulation), Macroeconomic theory (monetary models, models of taxation), U.S. monetary policy, exchange rates, convenience yields
safe asset demand, Financial networks (including contagion, systemic risk, regulation), Macroeconomic theory (monetary models, models of taxation), U.S. monetary policy, exchange rates, convenience yields
| selected citations These citations are derived from selected sources. This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 48 | |
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| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Top 10% | |
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