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Demography, capital accumulation and growth

Authors: Stehrer, Robert; Tverdostup, Maryna;

Demography, capital accumulation and growth

Abstract

Europe will be challenged by demographic changes over the next few decades, even under favourable assumptions about fertility and migration, but the economic eects are not yet fully understood. This paper studies the eects of population ageing on economic growth, capital deepening and robotisation in 27 European Union (EU) labour markets. First, we econometrically assess the eects of ageing and potential labour market shortages on growth. Second, we test the hypothesis of whether ageing leads to faster adoption of new technologies. We distinguish between various capital asset types, including non- ICT and ICT capital, tangible and intangible capital and the adoption of robots. The analysis is based on Eurostat, the European Labour Force Survey (EU-LFS) and International Federation of Robotics (IFR) data. Results indicate that ageing and demographic changes might result in secular stagnation, which decelerates the adoption of new technologies.

Keywords

O33, ddc:330, J11, growth, aging, secular stagnation, capital accumulation, new technologies, aging, growth, capital accumulation, new technologies

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selected citations
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This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
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influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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