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Dataset . 2021
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Mainshock+aftershock M4.95+ seismicity forecasts derived from the Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models (RELM) and the multiplicative hybrid earthquake models developed by Rhoades et al. (2014)

Authors: Bayona, Jose A.; Savran, William H.; Rhoades, David A.; Werner, Maximilian J.;

Mainshock+aftershock M4.95+ seismicity forecasts derived from the Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models (RELM) and the multiplicative hybrid earthquake models developed by Rhoades et al. (2014)

Abstract

Contains six mainshock+aftershock seismicity forecasts developed by the Working Group of the Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models (RELM) experiment, sixteen multiplicative hybrid forecasts created by Rhoades et al. (2014), and the 2011-2020 M4.95+ ANSS earthquake catalog for California. Six additional forecast files are included to properly conduct the comparative tests implemented in the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) testing centre. Forecasts are stored in tab separated value files with the following fields (the first row of data is shown as an example): LON_0 LON_1 LAT_0 LAT_1 DEPTH_0 DEPTH_1 MAG_0 MAG_1 RATE FLAG -125.4 -125.3 40.1 40.2 0.0 30.0 4.95 5.05 5.8499099999999998e-04 1 Forecast are described in detail by the following publications: Bird, P., and Z. Liu (2007). Seismic Hazard Inferred from Tectonics: California. Seismological Research Letters, 78(1):37-48. Ebel, J. E., D. W. Chambers, A. L. Kafka, and J. A. Baglivo (2007). Non-Poissonian Earthquake Clustering and the Hidden Markov Model as Bases for Earthquake Forecasting in California. Seismological Research Letters, 78(1): 57-65. Helmstetter, A., Y. Y. Kagan, and D. D. Jackson (2007). High-resolution Time-independent Grid-based Forecast for M >= 5 Earthquakes in California. Seismological Research Letters, 78(1): 78-86. Holliday, J., Chen, C., Tiampo, K., Rundle, J., Turcotte, D., and Donnellan, A. (2007). A RELM earthquake forecast based on pattern informatics. Seismological Research Letters, 78(1):87–93. Kagan, Y. Y., D. D. Jackson, and Y. Rong (2007). A Testable Five-Year Forecast of Moderate and Large Earthquakes in Southern California Based on Smoothed Seismicity. Seismological Research Letters, 78(1): 94-98. Rhoades, D.A., Gerstenberger, M.C., Christophersen, A., Zechar, J.D., Schorlemmer, D., Werner, M.J. and Jordan, T.H., 2014. Regional earthquake likelihood models II: Information gains of multiplicative hybrids. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 104(6):3072-3083. Shen, Z.-K., D. D. Jackson, and Y. Y. Kagan (2007). Implications of Geodetic Strain Rate for Future Earthquakes, with a Five-Year Forecast of M5 Earthquakes in Southern California. Seismological Research Letters, 78(1):116-120. Ward, S. (2007). Methods for evaluating earthquake potential and likelihood in and around California. Seismological Research Letters, 78(1):121–133. Wiemer, S. and Schorlemmer, D. (2007). ALM: An asperity-based likelihood model for California. Seismological Research Letters, 78(1):134–140.

Keywords

Earthquake forecast testing, Statistical seismology, Seismicity modelling

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selected citations
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This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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