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PAC - Prediction accuracy calculator

Authors: Pooley, Christopher M.; Marion, Glenn; Doeschl-Wilson,Andrea B.;

PAC - Prediction accuracy calculator

Abstract

INTRODUCTION Differences in epidemic severity arise from differences in individual susceptibility (i.e. propensity to acquire infection), infectivity (i.e. propensity to pass on infection to others) and recoverability (including true recovery but in some cases death). Identifying genetic and non-genetic factors affecting these three traits is of crucial importance, because it opens up the possibility for selective breeding or control measures aimed at reducing the impact and prevalence of disease. Recently it has been shown to be possible to estimate these factors from longitudinal epidemiological data (e.g. infection and/or recovery times of individuals or diagnostic test results) using Bayesian statistical methods implemented in the software tool SIRE. PAC SOFTWARE The "prediction accuracy calculator" (PAC) is a tool that can be used to help design disease transmission experiments to maximise the information they provides regarding variation in traits arising from a given effect. This tool accompanies a soon to be published paper. DOWNLOAD Download the file PAC.zip, unzip, and click on "pac.html" to open the software in a browser window.

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Keywords

Epidemiology, susceptibility, infectivity, recoverability, PAC, disease transmission experiment

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This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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