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The Importance of Monitoring Interval for Rockfall Magnitude‐Frequency Estimation

Authors: Williams, Jack; Rosser, Nick; , Richard; Brain, Matthew;

The Importance of Monitoring Interval for Rockfall Magnitude‐Frequency Estimation

Abstract

AbstractRockfalls commonly exhibit power law volume‐frequency distributions, where fewer large events are observed relative to more numerous small events. Within most inventories, the smallest rockfalls are the most difficult to detect and so may not be adequately represented. A primary challenge occurs when neighboring events within a single monitoring interval are recorded as one, producing ambiguity in event location, timing, volume, and frequency. Identifying measurement intervals that minimize these uncertainties is therefore essential. To address this, we use an hourly data set comprising 8,987 3‐D point clouds of a cliff that experiences frequent rockfalls. Multiple rockfall inventories are derived from this data set using change detections for the same 10‐month period, but over different monitoring intervals. The power law describing the probability distribution of rockfall volumes is highly sensitive to monitoring interval. The exponent,β, is stable for intervals >12 hr but increases nonlinearly over progressively short timescales. This change is manifested as an increase in observed rockfall numbers, from 1.4 × 103(30 day intervals) to 1.4 × 104(1 hr intervals), and a threefold reduction in mean rockfall volume. When the monitoring interval exceeds 4 hr, the geometry of detected rockfalls becomes increasingly similar to that of blocks defined by rock mass structure. This behavior change reveals a time‐dependent component to rockfall occurrence, where smaller rockfalls (identifiable from more frequent monitoring) are more sensitive to progressive deformation of the rock mass. Acquiring complete inventories and attributing discrete controls over rockfall occurrence may therefore only be achievable with high‐frequency monitoring, dependent upon local lithology.

Country
United Kingdom
Related Organizations
Keywords

monitoring, power law, rockfalls, ddc:551.307, time-dependent failure, magnitude frequency

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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