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Global ecosystem service values in climate class change

Authors: Watson, Lisa; Straatsma, Menno W.; Wanders, Niko; Verstegen, Judith A.; de Jong, Steven M.; Karssenberg, Derek;

Global ecosystem service values in climate class change

Abstract

This data set includes script, input data, and complete results from the paper. Abstract: Ecosystem service assessments facilitate the valuation of nature and support decision-making. Ecosystem services are connected to climate; however, ecosystem service values affected by climate change remain unclear. We mapped global ecosystem service values totaling ~1.3 trillion international dollars for 2005. Transitions in Köppen-Geiger climate classes projected with General Circulation Models under the four IPCC Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) were modeled providing 20 climate scenarios. The mapped global ecosystem service values were combined with the 20 climate scenarios in order to identify where and how much of the global ecosystem service value is within a climate class transition. By 2050, 252-375 billion international dollars of ecosystem service value (20-30% of total value) are in a Köppen-Geiger climate transition for both RCP 2.6 and 8.5 scenarios. In RCP 2.6, the 2015 Paris Agreement carbon emission scenario target, Köppen-Geiger climate transitions stabilize after 2050. However, in the RCP 8.5 scenario, ecosystem service values amounting to 467-632 billion international dollars (37-50% of total value) are in a Köppen-Geiger climate transition by 2085. These results provide an inclusive global overview of climate change impact on evaluated ecosystem services that affect populations and economies.

Keywords

climate class transition, climate change, spatial valuation, Köppen-Geiger climate class, ecosystem service assessment, global study

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selected citations
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This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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