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ANÁLISE HARMÔNICA DAS TEMPERATURAS MÍNIMAS E MÁXIMAS MÉDIAS MENSAIS PARA O ESTADO DO RIO GRANDE DO SUL

Authors: João; Milena Machado; Diniz; Gilberto; Baptista da Silva;

ANÁLISE HARMÔNICA DAS TEMPERATURAS MÍNIMAS E MÁXIMAS MÉDIAS MENSAIS PARA O ESTADO DO RIO GRANDE DO SUL

Abstract

Neste trabalho constituíram-se modelos matemáticos referentes às temperaturas mínimas e máximas médias mensais, para três localidades do Estado do Rio Grande do Sul. Foi aplicada a técnica da análise harmônica para a identificação dos harmônicos existentes e sua importância na composição dos modelos. Utilizou-se dados de 85 anos, de 1918 a 2002, para a análise harmônica e composição dos modelos, e 5 anos, de 2003 a 2007, para verificar a capacidade dos modelos na previsão de novos conjuntos de valores. Os resultados das análises realizadas indicaram um bom desempenho dos modelos para representar a variação entre os dados mensais de temperaturas mínimas e máximas e, também, como previsores confiáveis do comportamento de novos conjuntos destas variáveis.

Keywords

Regressão Periódica , Tendência Linear, Iraí, Santana do Livramento, Pelotas, Previsão

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popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
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influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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