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https://dx.doi.org/10.60692/h7...
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Application of Stochastic Analysis, Modeling and Simulation (SAMS) to Selected Hydrologic Data in the Middle East

تطبيق التحليل العشوائي والنمذجة والمحاكاة (SAMS) على بيانات هيدرولوجية مختارة في الشرق الأوسط
Authors: Nidhal Saada; Mustafa Abdullah; Arwa Hamaideh; Ali Abu-Romman;

Application of Stochastic Analysis, Modeling and Simulation (SAMS) to Selected Hydrologic Data in the Middle East

Abstract

Water resources in the Middle East are very scarce and the management of these resources is a challenge. In this paper, the use of stochastic analysis, modeling, and simulation (SAMS) software package to selected hydrologic data in the Middle East (namely Jordan and Saudi Arabia) are explored. Modeling and simulation experiments were conducted to test the capabilities of SAMS to be used for stochastic modeling and simulation in the Middle East region. The hydrologic data used in this study consist of historic observed rainfall data of different lengths at various sites in Jordan and Saudi Arabia. The models used in this study include: autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models, periodic autoregressive moving average (PARMA) models, multi-site contemporaneous autoregressive moving average (CARMA) models, and temporal disaggregation models. Results indicate that SAMS can be used as a tool for stochastic modeling and simulation of hydrologic data in Jordan and Saudi Arabia. It is important for managers and decision makers of water resources in these countries to be able to use sophisticated tools such as SAMS while deciding water management policies in these countries.

Keywords

Water resources, Hydrological Modeling, stochastic analysis; ; ;, Climate Change and Variability Research, Operations research, Autoregressive model, FOS: Economics and business, Middle East, Hydrological modelling, FOS: Mathematics, Econometrics, Biology, Stochastic modelling, hydrologic data, Water Science and Technology, Climatology, Global and Planetary Change, Geography, Ecology, Mathematical economics, Autoregressive–moving-average model, Statistics, modeling, Geology, FOS: Earth and related environmental sciences, simulation, Watershed Simulation, Computer science, Simulation modeling, Hydrological Modeling and Water Resource Management, Archaeology, FOS: Biological sciences, Global Drought Monitoring and Assessment, Environmental Science, Physical Sciences, Mathematics, Climate Modeling

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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