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Article . 2025
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Article . 2025
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
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Risk of Death Assessment in Patients Suffering from Heart Failure Using Regression Analysis Techniques

Authors: Filipović, Filip; Dašić, Lazar; Blagojević, Anđela; Pavić, Ognjen; Filipović, Nenad;

Risk of Death Assessment in Patients Suffering from Heart Failure Using Regression Analysis Techniques

Abstract

Heart failure is one of the most life-threatening diseases of the modern era, with high global mortality and morbidity rates, motivating the need for long-term outcome prediction. One established tool is the MAGGIC Risk Calculator for Heart Failure, which predicts 3-5 year mortality risk from parameters like blood pressure, age, sodium concentration, heart rate and COPD presence. This study develops regression models — polynomial regression, support vector regression and random forest regression — to estimate the MAGGIC score from physical examination, blood biomarker, ECG and ultrasound data without relying on the calculator's standard input parameters. Random forest regression achieved the lowest error (RMSE of 6.37 on a 0-91 point scale), enabling a precise, alternative assessment of death risk over the following 3-5 years. This work was presented at the 4th Serbian International Conference on Applied Artificial Intelligence (SICAAI 2025), Zlatibor, Serbia, and was carried out within the STRATIFYHF project.

Keywords

risk prediction, machine learning, heart failure, regression analysis, early diagnosis

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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