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International Journal of Information Security
Article . 2026 . Peer-reviewed
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Explainable AI based dynamic cybersecurity risk management for cyber insurability

Authors: Spyridon Papastergiou; basheer, nihala; Lampropoulos, Kostas I; Panayiotis Verrios; Islam, Shareeful;

Explainable AI based dynamic cybersecurity risk management for cyber insurability

Abstract

Abstract Cybersecurity risk is one of the primary and growing concerns for ensuing security and resilience of organizations, regardless of their size and type. While proactive risk management is effective, it is challenging due to the evolving and sophisticated threat landscape, exploitation of known and unknown vulnerabilities, and a dynamic security context. The dynamic security context further complicates to calculate the accurate risk level, leading to risk perception that can vary between different stakeholders. However, the demand for adopting cyber insurance is increasing as an effective risk mitigation strategy to avoid any potential loss. In this context, this paper proposes an Explainable AI (XAI) based dynamic cybersecurity risk management approach for informed cyber insurability decision making. The approach utilizes an Large Language Model (LLM) based framework for real-time, contextualized risk level assessment and adopts XAI techniques such as feature contribution and correlation, to justify the decision making. A comprehensive evaluation using an industrial use case and experiment demonstrates the applicability of the proposed approach. The experiment part uses a widely used vulnerability dataset to predicate high exploitable vulnerabilities and links them with the identified assets of the use case scenario. The result shows 96.9% accuracy for the exploitable vulnerability identification and XAI operationalisation justifies the selection of right security control and the cyber insurability decision based on the residual risk.

Related Organizations
Keywords

Explainable AI · LLM model · Cyber Insurance · Case study · Dynamic Cybersecurity Risk Management · Vulnerability

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    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    3
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
3
Top 10%
Average
Average
Green
hybrid