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Learned Class-Conditional Signal-Quality Deferral for Selective rPPG-Based Atrial Fibrillation Screening

Authors: Khan, Muhammad Shahnawaz;

Learned Class-Conditional Signal-Quality Deferral for Selective rPPG-Based Atrial Fibrillation Screening

Abstract

Contactless atrial fibrillation (AF) screening from facial-video remote photoplethysmography (rPPG) is an attractive opportunistic-screening modality, but deployment requires the model to abstain on segments it cannot classify safely. Standard selective-prediction methods rank samples by model confidence alone, ignoring the physical signal-quality information available from the rPPG pulse waveform itself. We study post-hoc deferral policies that combine model confidence with spectral signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) in the cardiac band. We first show that a naïve linear combination achieves an apparent 18 % relative improvement in area under the risk- coverage curve (AURC) over uncertainty-only deferral on a 45,064-segment synthetic-rPPG benchmark derived from the PhysioNet/CinC 2017 AF Challenge — but this aggregate gain is clinically harmful: AF recall at 50 % coverage collapses from 0.71 to 0.04 because AF’s irregular rhythm is itself a low-SNR signature in the cardiac band, so the deferral rule systematically rejects positives. We then introduce Learned Class-Conditional Signal-Quality Deferral (LW-CCSD), a constrained-grid-search procedure that estimates per- predicted-class quality weights on validation data subject to a configurable AF-recall floor. LW-CCSD makes the safety / accuracy trade-off explicit and tunable: across the Pareto frontier we measure +4.1 % AURC improvement at ≤ 0.01 AF-recall cost, scaling to +15.6 % AURC at 8 percentage-point AF cost. The method generalises across three uncertainty quantification methods (deterministic single-pass softmax, MC Dropout, deep ensembles). Strikingly, LW-CCSD applied to a single-forward-pass classifier achieves better selective performance than a five-model deep ensemble without LW-CCSD, suggesting the method can substitute for compute-expensive ensembling in deployed clinical screens.

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Keywords

conformal prediction, deep ensembles, selective prediction, Clopper-Pearson lower bound, uncertainty quantification, remote photoplethysmography, MC dropout, signal quality, rPPG, atrial fibrillation, contactless cardiac screening, calibration, deferral policies

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average