Kenya’s ambition to achieve a fully clean power system by 2030 raises questions about how to provide system flexibility as renewable penetration increases. Applying Robust Decision-Making (RDM) enables a structured assessment of alternative flexibility options, including natural gas and battery storage, across a wide range of uncertain futures. The results show a limited role for natural gas, provided that modest cost reductions in batteries are achieved, and support the use of planning approaches that test strategies for robustness rather than relying on a limited set of scenarios.

This material has been produced with support from the Climate Compatible Growth (CCG) programme. CCG is funded by UK aid from the UK government. However, the views expressed herein do not necessarily reflect the UK government's official policies.