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ZENODO
Report . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: ZENODO
ZENODO
Report . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Report . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
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Threshold of Apparent Agency Parliamentary Fragmentation, Erosion of Governance, and Escalation Risk in Poland Before the 2027 Parliamentary Election

Authors: Paruzel, Katarzyna Anna; Paruzel, Michał Izaak;

Threshold of Apparent Agency Parliamentary Fragmentation, Erosion of Governance, and Escalation Risk in Poland Before the 2027 Parliamentary Election

Abstract

This volume of Report K* presents a systemic analysis of the Polish political system before the2027 parliamentary election. It does not function as a conventional electoral forecast and doesnot aim to predict which party will win the election. Its central question is whether Polandis approaching a threshold at which formal continuity of power may no longer translate intoeffective governance.The volume introduces the category of apparent agency: a state in which government institutionscontinue to operate formally, public communication remains active, ministers perform their1functions, projects and announcements are produced, yet the state increasingly fails to carrydecisions through resistance, produce real effects, and maintain the consequences of action.Using the K⋆ model, the analysis examines systemic tension, stabilising potential, parliamentaryfragmentation, erosion of the political centre, the growth of the post-PiS right, Confederationas a possible generational attractor, informational entropy, the deficit of permittedcorrective agency, and the risk of drawing the state into an escalatory logic under securitypressure.The core conclusion of the volume is that the 2027 parliamentary election may not simplycreate a crisis of governance, but may reveal and formalise a process already developing earlier:the divergence between formal government and effective state agency. The publication isintended as a diagnostic and strategic tool for public administration, analysts, policy experts,journalists, think tanks, and institutions interested in systemic risk, state resilience, and regimetransitions of political stability.

Keywords

apparent agency, Report K*, parliamentary fragmentation, Polish politics, systemic analysis, K* model

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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