
Esta tesis examina la inteligencia artificial como multiplicador de fuerza en conflictos asimetricos, extendiendo la doctrina clausewitziana y el marco cuantitativo de Dupuy hacia la guerra centrada en redes y la autonomia algoritmica. Mediante un diseno de analisis comparativo de casos similares, se contrastan dos escenarios: la guerra ruso-ucraniana como laboratorio empirico de IA belica, y la guerra contra el narcotrafico en Mexico como caso de asimetria estatal frente a actores no estatales de alta adaptabilidad. En Ucrania, herramientas de IA de bajo costo - drones FPV con precision del 80% y software como Kropyva y GIS Arta - permitieron destruir el 65% de los blindados rusos a costos marginales. Aplicado a Mexico, donde la inteligencia fragmentada y la tecnologia obsoleta han sido insuficientes ante mas de 460,000 homicidios desde 2006, se proponen cinco iniciativas: asociaciones publico-privadas para drones, integracion de IA en sistemas de inteligencia nacional, despliegue de vehiculos autonomos, programas de sinergia hombre-maquina y una estrategia predictiva bajo el Marco Bicentenario. El estudio ofrece una hoja de ruta para transitar de estrategias reactivas a proactivas en seguridad nacional. (Translation to English) This thesis examines artificial intelligence as a force multiplier in asymmetric conflicts, extending Clausewitzian doctrine and Dupuy's quantitative frameworks to network-centric warfare and algorithmic autonomy. Using a most-similar-systems comparative design, it analyzes two cases: the Russia-Ukraine war as a live laboratory of AI-enabled combat, and Mexico's war against drug trafficking as a case of state asymmetry against adaptive non-state actors. In Ukraine, low-cost AI tools - FPV drones achieving 80% precision, and coordination software such as Kropyva and GIS Arta - enabled destruction of 65% of Russian armor at marginal cost. Applied to Mexico, where fragmented intelligence and obsolete technology have failed to contain over 460,000 homicides since 2006, the study proposes five concrete initiatives: public-private drone partnerships, AI integration in national intelligence systems, autonomous vehicle deployment, human-machine synergy training, and a predictive strategy aligned with the Marco Bicentenario. The thesis contributes a policy roadmap for transitioning Mexican security from reactive to proactive operations.
Force multiplier, Artificial intelligence, Drug trafficking, Technological governance, National security, Russia-Ukraine war, Asymmetric conflicts, Mexico
Force multiplier, Artificial intelligence, Drug trafficking, Technological governance, National security, Russia-Ukraine war, Asymmetric conflicts, Mexico
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