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Other literature type . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Other literature type . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Other literature type . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Other literature type . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Other literature type . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Other literature type . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Other literature type . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Other literature type . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Other literature type . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
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The Echo Chamber

Abstract

The first reflection coefficient |k1|, derived from Rabiner and Schafer's acoustic tube model of the human vocal tract (1978), is a domain-agnostic structural detector. Applied to currency and commodity markets, it measures whether a market is absorbing information or echoing it back. A healthy market is a soundproof room. Each day's price signal is absorbed and gone. A market under structural stress is a stone canyon. Yesterday's distress signal bounces back into today's price, which bounces into tomorrow's, which bounces into the next day. The market becomes an echo chamber of its own crisis. |k1| measures how hard the walls have become. The instrument requires no distributional assumption, no calibration, and no domain knowledge. The unit circle is the boundary by physics, not by fitting. It is derived from the Levinson-Durbin recursion — the same mathematical structure Rabiner and Schafer used to model acoustic reflection at vocal tract junctions. The note develops the acoustic intuition, ties it to the speech-processing origin of the reflection coefficient, and validates it against 39 years of Brent crude oil prices and 28 years of China iron ore import values. A joint alert framework combining the black market premium chamber and the commodity price chamber identifies three operational states: Watch, Alert, and Demand Destruction. Keywords: reflection coefficient, k1, Levinson-Durbin, linear prediction, black market premium, sovereign stress, reserve crisis, echo chamber, vocal tract, commodity markets

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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