
AbstractThis study introduces the concepts of self-cannibalization and cross-cannibalization to analyze at a deeper level the co-evolution of the profit cannibalization dynamics for renewable energy sources (RES) and battery energy storage systems (BESS) while progressing towards net zero. We developed a high-resolution electricity market model comprising 33 European countries for 2030 and 2040, considering climate variability, outages, and different RES and BESS deployment levels. The results show that RES face severe self-cannibalization challenges, with a 10% capacity increase reducing RES profits by 19% in 2030 (23% in 2040), while BESS experiences only an 8% profit reduction. Notably, the cross-cannibalization effect of RES on BESS is beneficial, as a 10% RES growth increases BESS profits by 15% in 2030. This can create a strategic incentive for pairing RES investment with BESS in the near term, as the beneficial cross-cannibalization can act as a financial 'hedge' against RES profit erosion, even though this effect fades by 2040. Finally, we show that a 20% increase in RES capacity reduces market prices by 18% (2030) and 32% (2040) in Europe, on average, while BESS primarily reduces price volatility.
| selected citations These citations are derived from selected sources. This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 0 | |
| popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Average | |
| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Average | |
| impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Average |
