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ZENODO
Preprint . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: ZENODO
ZENODO
Preprint . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Preprint . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
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Strategic Theory of Mind (SToM): Extending Game Theory Through Cognitive Modeling, Strategic Interaction, and the Emergence of Trust

Authors: Matta, David (Daoud);

Strategic Theory of Mind (SToM): Extending Game Theory Through Cognitive Modeling, Strategic Interaction, and the Emergence of Trust

Abstract

This paper advances a single, falsifiable thesis: classical game theory's treatment of belief as a static probability distribution is structurally insufficient to explain strategic behavior, and the missing mechanism is Strategic Theory of Mind (SToM)—an agent's active, dynamic, and recursive capacity to model the minds of others within a decision environment. To formalize this claim, the paper proposes a four-layer framework in which self-interest (Layer 1) operates within incentive structures (Layer 2), is mediated by SToM (Layer 3), and is transformed over time through the discount factor γ into cooperative equilibria grounded in trust (Layer 4). SToM is further decomposed into three operationally distinct modes: analytic (explicit inference from observable behavior and known incentives), simulation-based (projecting oneself into the other's strategic position), and recursive (higher-order modeling of what others believe one will do). Each layer logically presupposes the one below it; each enables phenomena not reducible to lower-layer mechanisms alone. The framework converses with behavioral game theory, cognitive hierarchy models, common knowledge epistemology, and Theory of Mind research, and is extended to organizational leadership and human–AI interaction. A light formal notation is offered linking SToM depth, γ, and equilibrium type as a foundation for future empirical and computational operationalization.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average