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ZENODO
Dataset . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Dataset . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
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MACHINE LEARNING BASED MODELLING OF TEMPORAL PATTERNS IN FINANCIAL MARKET DATA

Authors: R. Ashok; G. Siva Prasad , G. Lakshmi Vara , M. Lavanya; Dr. K. M Rayudu and Dr. Ch. Hima Bindu;

MACHINE LEARNING BASED MODELLING OF TEMPORAL PATTERNS IN FINANCIAL MARKET DATA

Abstract

Forecasting financial markets is a challenging problem due to their highly volatile, dynamic, and non-linear behavior. Accurate predictions are critical for investors, traders, and policymakers to mitigate risks and optimize decision-making. In this paper, We assess and contrast five machine learning algorithms for predicting the stock prices of Apple Inc. (AAPL): Random Forest, XGBoost, Support Vector Machines (SVM),Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and Gated Recurrent Units (GRU). Moving averages and momentum indicators were among the feature engineering techniques used to gather and pre-process historical stock data. Mean Squared Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and prediction accuracy were used to train and assess each model.Experimental results demonstrate that deep learning approaches, particularly GRU, achieve the highest accuracy (94.3%), effectively capturing long-term temporal dependencies. Conversely, ensemble learning techniques like XGBoost andRandom Forest provide robust performance in handling non-linear patterns, while SVM achieves competitive results with smaller datasets.The findings highlight the advantages of integrating multiple machine learning paradigms and suggest the potential of hybrid forecasting systems that combine traditional ensemble models with deep learning architectures for improved market prediction.

Keywords

Machine Learning Time Series Random Forest XGBoost SVM LSTM GRU and Financial Forecasting

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average