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ZENODO
Preprint . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: ZENODO
ZENODO
Preprint . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Preprint . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
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The Hubble Tension as a Distance-Dependent Readout Effect: Forward Prediction of 𝐻(𝑅)/𝐻∞ from Local Large-Scale Structure in the Δ𝑇 Framework

Authors: Kusaka, Masatomo;

The Hubble Tension as a Distance-Dependent Readout Effect: Forward Prediction of 𝐻(𝑅)/𝐻∞ from Local Large-Scale Structure in the Δ𝑇 Framework

Abstract

The 4–5σ discrepancy between distance-ladder measurements of the Hubble constant (H0 ≈ 73 km s−1 Mpc−1) and CMB-inferred values (H0 ≈ 67.4 km s−1 Mpc−1) has conventionally been framed as a conflict between two independent true values. We challenge this premise. The differing H0 values reported by SH0ES and DESI BAO are not in fundamental conflict; rather, they reflect readings of the same underlying cosmic structure field H(R) through probe-specific distance windows. Applying the ΔT time-structure framework (Paper I^1) to the 2M++ density and peculiar velocity reconstruction, extended to z ≤ 0.30 via the WISExSCOS photometric catalogue, we forward-predict the radial profile H(R)/H∞ without free scaling parameters. The predicted H0 = 72.77 km s−1 Mpc−1, derived from the line-of-sight average over 238 SH0ES Hubble-flow supernovae, is consistent with the observed value (73.0 ± 1.0 km s−1 Mpc−1) to within 1σ, and all seven DESI DR1 BAO bins fall within the far-field equilibrium band (ρ∞ ± 2σ∞). The operational equilibrium scale Req = 590 h−1 Mpc is determined directly from the data. A two-point asymptotic fit to the ΔT-predicted SH0ES and BAO BGS values yields Heq ≃ 67.47 km s−1 Mpc−1, consistent within rounding with the Planck value, without using CMB data as input. The Hubble tension is not a contradiction to be resolved, but a metrological consequence of the distance-dependent profile of the cosmic structure field.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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