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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
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Other literature type . 2025
License: CC BY
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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
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Other literature type . 2025
License: CC BY
Data sources: ZENODO
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Other literature type . 2025
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
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Other literature type . 2025
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Other literature type . 2025
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
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Feedback loops mediate warming effects on complexity, stability and predictability of phytoplankton dynamics in global lakes

Authors: Hui, Fu;

Feedback loops mediate warming effects on complexity, stability and predictability of phytoplankton dynamics in global lakes

Abstract

Understanding the intricate feedback mechanisms between phytoplankton and nutrients is fundamental to predicting aquatic ecosystem responses to global change. While unidirectional nutrient-phytoplankton interactions are well-studied, the reciprocal causality and symmetry of these feedbacks remain poorly explored. Using a global dataset of 134 lakes spanning four continents, we applied convergent cross mapping (CCM) to 593 monthly time series to identify pairwise feedbacks (PairFB) between chlorophyll a (chl a) and macronutrients (ammonium, nitrate/nitrite, phosphate, and silicate). We found that PairFB was highly prevalent (54-75%) and fundamentally symmetrical across global lakes. However, this symmetry is highly sensitive to environmental context. Accelerated warming rates systematically break symmetrical feedbacks, typically driving them toward phytoplankton-dominated control or nutrient-dominant feedback, whereas increasing latitude often promoted the formation of symmetrical feedback. Furthermore, localized factors such as lake water depth, trophic status, and nutrient co-limitation critically mediate the pathways of feedback formation and disruption. Our findings demonstrate that the structure and symmetry of essential phytoplankton-nutrient feedbacks are dynamic, environmentally contingent, and critical for understanding how lakes will respond to escalating anthropogenic pressures, providing a novel framework for diagnosing ecosystem resilience.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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