
Power law analysis of outcome variance within HLA match score groups across N=35,471 transplant pairs. Within-group overdispersion is 6-9x binomial expectation at every match level. At identical 9/10 match scores, PBM immunopeptidome divergence produces a 6.8 percentage point difference in 3-year overall survival. HLA-DPB1 carries HR_NRM = 1.50 and is not in the standard 10/10 cascade. Patient age asymmetry carries HR = 1.78 at identical match scores. Three actionable protocol recommendations: add HLA-DPB1 to the cascade, formalize age asymmetry scoring, adopt immunopeptidome divergence as tiebreaker.
HLA-DPB1, unrelated donor transplant, non-relapse mortality, power law, within-group variance, immunopeptidome, PTCy, transplant immunology, HLA Matching, donor selection
HLA-DPB1, unrelated donor transplant, non-relapse mortality, power law, within-group variance, immunopeptidome, PTCy, transplant immunology, HLA Matching, donor selection
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