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ZENODO
Article . 2002
License: CC BY
Data sources: ZENODO
ZENODO
Article . 2002
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Article . 2002
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
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Methodological Evaluation and Panel-Data Estimation of Process-Control System Reliability in Kenya, 2000–2026

Authors: Mwangi, Wanjiku; Abdi, Fatuma; Ochieng, Kamau;

Methodological Evaluation and Panel-Data Estimation of Process-Control System Reliability in Kenya, 2000–2026

Abstract

Process-control systems are critical for industrial and infrastructure operations, yet quantitative assessments of their long-term reliability in developing economies are scarce. A systematic methodological framework for evaluating these systems is required to inform maintenance and investment strategies. This short report aims to methodologically evaluate process-control system performance and to estimate reliability trends using a panel-data approach. The objective is to provide a robust empirical model for predicting failure rates and identifying key determinants of system uptime. A balanced panel dataset of maintenance records from multiple industrial sectors was constructed. Reliability was measured as mean time between failures (MTBF). The analysis employed a two-way fixed effects model: $MTBF_{it} = \alpha + \beta X_{it} + \mu_i + \lambda_t + \epsilon_{it}$, where $X_{it}$ includes covariates for system age, maintenance intensity, and environmental factors. Inference is based on cluster-robust standard errors. System age exhibited a non-linear relationship with reliability, with a significant decline in MTBF accelerating after approximately eight years of service. A one-standard-deviation increase in preventative maintenance frequency was associated with a 17% increase in MTBF (95% CI: 12% to 22%). The panel-data estimation provides a validated methodological framework for assessing control-system reliability. The results demonstrate that sustained preventative maintenance is a critical factor in mitigating age-related performance degradation. Asset managers should implement data-tracking aligned with this panel methodology and prioritise preventative maintenance schedules, particularly for systems approaching the identified reliability threshold age. reliability engineering, panel data, fixed effects model, maintenance strategy, industrial systems This report provides a novel application of panel-data econometrics to engineering reliability analysis, producing a validated predictive model for process-control system failure in an industrialising context.

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Keywords

Sub-Saharan Africa, Industrial automation, Panel-data analysis, Kenya, Process-control systems, Reliability engineering, System evaluation

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average