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ZENODO
Report . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: ZENODO
ZENODO
Report . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Report . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
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Operational Demand Forecasting & Basket Prediction for E-Commerce Logistics: A Modular, Production-Safe Blueprint for Logistics Service Providers and E-Commerce Operators

Authors: Schmitt, Marc;

Operational Demand Forecasting & Basket Prediction for E-Commerce Logistics: A Modular, Production-Safe Blueprint for Logistics Service Providers and E-Commerce Operators

Abstract

This white paper presents a practical architecture for operational demand forecasting and basket prediction in e-commerce logistics environments. It provides a modular, production-oriented framework that enables logistics service providers (3PLs) and e-commerce operators to forecast SKU-level demand over short horizons (1–14 days) and predict co-purchase patterns that support pre-kitting, box preparation, and packaging planning. The paper outlines a layered system design that combines robust statistical baselines with bounded corrections for peak events and external context such as promotions, holidays, and weather. It further describes how co-purchase prediction can be used to generate operational box templates and improve packing efficiency. The document focuses on implementable practices rather than specific vendors or cloud platforms. It covers data contracts, forecasting pipelines, peak detection, context enrichment, co-purchase modeling, backtesting procedures, deployment patterns, and governance safeguards required for reliable operational use. The objective is to provide engineering and operations teams with an executable blueprint for building forecasting capabilities that improve warehouse efficiency, transportation planning, and resource utilization while reducing operational waste. Audience: IT leaders, engineers, data analysts, operations managers, and solution architects working in e-commerce and logistics operations.

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    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    0
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green