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Preprint . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Preprint . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
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Dialectica-Universe Conditionalization: Interactive Evidence and Scalar Collapse

Authors: Bruhacs, Lorand;

Dialectica-Universe Conditionalization: Interactive Evidence and Scalar Collapse

Abstract

Accuracy-first arguments derive Bayesian updating by assuming that evidential content is already representable as a scalar quantity evaluated by a proper scoring rule. This paper instead identifies structural conditions under which such scalarization is legitimate. We model evidence as interactive witness–challenge refinement and internalize updating in a Dialectica category over credal states. In this setting, feasibility of an update is equivalent to nonnegativity of a minimax security value, and diachronic coherence corresponds to compositional preservation of no-book status. Admissible policies admit a canonical factorization into transport, interactive refinement, and optional selection. Within this interactive universe we isolate the public-score fragment, the reflective subcategory of evidence types indistinguishable by strictly proper scoring rules. On this fragment, equilibrium semantics commutes with reflection: computing equilibria before or after collapse yields the same public reports. Bayesian updating appears exactly as the reporting equilibrium of the reflected evidence game. Outside this fragment the collapse is non-faithful: evidence types that coincide at the scalar level can remain strategically distinct in the interactive universe. A finite normal-form representation theorem and nonclassical LP stress tests make this boundary explicit.

Keywords

imprecise probability, category theory, reflective subcategories, robust inference, conditionalization, Bayesian updating, decision theory, game-theoretic epistemology, equilibrium semantics, Dialectica categories

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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