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Other ORP type . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Other ORP type . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Other ORP type . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Other ORP type . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
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Technical Note Two: The Market Equilibrium Under V = 0

Authors: Devin, Andrew J;

Technical Note Two: The Market Equilibrium Under V = 0

Abstract

This companion supports the White Paper "Governing AI Without Killing Value" series by moving outside the organisation's boundary. Technical Note One formalises the internal liability calculus: Exposure forms when Reliance (R) rises under V = 0 without independent verification, then Residual Exposure is bounded by Governance, Accountability and Transparency (G + A + T). This note explains why R keeps rising anyway. It defines the market equilibrium under V = 0: external actors are structurally incentivised to raise reliance without supplying external verification (Ve) or guaranteeing Pack Producibility (P). Confidence is commercially supplied while verification remains architecturally absent. The equilibrium is sustained by a recursive disclaimer structure: vendors disclaim outputs and reliance, advisors disclaim verification, assurance providers disclaim scope and the regulated entity retains all fiduciary, regulatory and litigation consequence. The note introduces three environmental variables that sit outside direct organisational control but can be identified, measured and countered through internal governance: Vendor Pressure (Vp), Assurance Substitution (As) and Regulatory Scrutiny Intensity (Sc). It then presents a reliance drift heuristic showing why governance policies can exist while reliance still climbs: ΔR/Δt = f(I + Vp + As − (G + A + T)), where internal incentive pressure (I) combines with external headwinds unless governance counterforce is strong enough to make reliance drift non-positive before scrutiny arrives. This note is analytical rather than instrumental. It explains why the existing instruments in the white paper and companion papers must be strong enough to resist the market. It includes variable-to-instrument mapping (Vp, As, Sc) to concrete controls and evidence capture requirements and a visual equilibrium model showing the binary outcome when Sc triggers the P test: P = 1 (reconstruction, upstream disclaimers irrelevant) versus P = 0 (crystallisation, organisation stands alone). If you remember one insight: the market does not sell verification. It sells confidence. They are not the same thing.

Keywords

KEV, verification absence, reliance, decision reconstructability, evidential standards, board oversight, model risk, auditability, third-party assurance, fiduciary liability, residual exposure, AI liability, AI accountability, conformity assessment, regulatory scrutiny, governance failure, AI Act compliance, systemic risk, unpriced liability, liability crystallisation, epistemic debt, dependency cascade, vendor dependency, AI deployment risk, large language models, generative AI, V = 0, AI sovereignty, defensibility, market equilibrium, reliance drift, vendor pressure, assurance substitution, regulatory scrutiny intensity, recursive disclaimer, market incentives, governance counterforce, pack producibility, scrutiny crystallisation, external verification, assurance substitution, incentive pressure, reliance drift heuristic, board-operable governance

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average