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Preprint . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Preprint . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
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DURG-EduAI: A Multi-Task Machine Learning Framework for Student Academic Performance Prediction, Result Classification, and Dropout Risk Assessment in Indian Higher Education

Authors: Sameer banchhor G L banchhor, sameer banchhor;

DURG-EduAI: A Multi-Task Machine Learning Framework for Student Academic Performance Prediction, Result Classification, and Dropout Risk Assessment in Indian Higher Education

Abstract

DURG-EduAI is a large-scale multi-task machine learning framework developed for academic performance prediction, result classification, dropout risk assessment, subject benchmarking, and early warning generation in Indian higher education. The system is trained on a novel dataset of 248,139 student examination records collected from Hemchand Yadav University, Durg, Chhattisgarh, spanning undergraduate and postgraduate programs (2016–2025). The framework transforms raw examination HTML records into structured feature representations and applies gradient-boosted tree ensembles (XGBoost) for predictive modeling. Key performance results include: • SGPA regression: R² = 0.9969, MAE = 0.079• Result classification (PASS / ATKT / FAIL): F1 ≈ 0.99+ across classes• Dropout risk stratification (Low / Medium / High): near-perfect classification on engineered labels The system integrates five modules into a unified inference pipeline capable of generating a complete student risk report from a single structured examination record. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first publicly released multi-task ML system trained on real multi-program Indian university examination data at this scale. Important note: Dropout risk labels are engineered proxy indicators derived from examination outcomes and not confirmed longitudinal withdrawal records. High predictive performance partially reflects recoverability of institutional grading rules. Trained models and inference pipeline are publicly available at:https://huggingface.co/collections/sameerbanchhor-work/durg-edu-ai

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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