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Preprint . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Preprint . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
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Bio-Inspired Cascade and Temporal Algorithms for Multi-Pathway ALS Biomarker Integration

Authors: Iyer, Latha;

Bio-Inspired Cascade and Temporal Algorithms for Multi-Pathway ALS Biomarker Integration

Abstract

Computational integration of multi-pathway disease cascades remains a fundamental challenge in systems biology. We address this through bio-inspired algorithms that model hierarchical pathway interactions, demonstrated in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). We developed and simulated a multi-pathway integration framework using 369 computationally reconstructed patient profiles derived from two published ALS cohorts (Lu et al. 2015: n=219; Verde et al. 2019: n=150), integrating three biological pathways: VCP-nuclear pore-TDP-43 cascade (5 features), V1 interneuron circuit disruption (4 features), and mitochondrial dysfunction (8 features). Target variables were decoupled from features via independent patient-level noise, biomarker measurement variability was modelled at realistic clinical assay coefficients of variation (~18%), and edge cases were isolated prior to scaler fitting. Random Forest achieved ROC-AUC: 0.539 on the test set following leakage remediation. Conformal prediction yielded 93.2% empirical coverage (≥90% target). V1 timing analysis revealed 98.6% of profiles in post-optimal intervention windows (mean V1 loss 28.0%). Bayesian pathway weighting quantified: VCP dominant (57.9%), V1 interneuron secondary (34.0%), mitochondrial downstream (6.9%). Four mitochondrial phenotypes were identified, with Energy-Depleted patients showing highest treatment response (81%). Prospective validation on independently collected raw patient data is the necessary next step toward clinical deployment.

Keywords

Bayesian methods, TDP-43, Precision medicine, Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis, Temporal optimisation, Computational biology, Mitochondrial phenotyping, Machine learning, Biomarker integration, Hierarchical pathway modelling, Conformal prediction, Cascade Learning, Uncertainty quantification, Bio-inspired algorithms

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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