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ZENODO
Article . 2002
License: CC BY
Data sources: ZENODO
ZENODO
Article . 2002
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Article . 2002
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
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Machine Learning Models in Climate Prediction and Adaptation Planning for Equatorial Guinea Landscape

Authors: Nguema, Carlos; Ondo, Fernando;

Machine Learning Models in Climate Prediction and Adaptation Planning for Equatorial Guinea Landscape

Abstract

Equatorial Guinea is a small country in West Africa that experiences significant climate variability due to its equatorial location. Understanding and predicting climate conditions are crucial for effective adaptation planning, particularly in sectors like agriculture and water management. The methodology involves collecting historical climate data from multiple sources, including satellite observations and ground weather stations, which will be used as input features for our machine learning models. We employ a Random Forest model to predict temperature and precipitation changes over time. Our preliminary analysis shows that the Random Forest model achieves an accuracy of approximately 78% in predicting future climate conditions based on historical data trends. The findings suggest that machine learning models, such as Random Forest, can be effectively utilised for climate prediction and adaptation planning in Equatorial Guinea. This research contributes to a more robust understanding of climate dynamics in tropical regions. Future studies should focus on validating these models across different seasons and geographical areas within Equatorial Guinea, and integrate them into existing climate change adaptation plans. Model estimation used $\hat{\theta}=argmin_{\theta}\sum_i\ell(y_i,f_\theta(x_i))+\lambda\lVert\theta\rVert_2^2$, with performance evaluated using out-of-sample error.

Related Organizations
Keywords

Sub-Saharan, Geospatial, Equatorial, Ensemble, Regression

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average