Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ ZENODOarrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
ZENODO
Article . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: ZENODO
ZENODO
Article . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Article . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
versions View all 2 versions
addClaim

The Four Force Currency Theory: An Innovative Dynamic of Pull–Push Effects in Exchange Rate Determination

Authors: Lie Chun Pong;

The Four Force Currency Theory: An Innovative Dynamic of Pull–Push Effects in Exchange Rate Determination

Abstract

Most industrialized economies now operate hybrid, managed‑floating exchange rate regimes that are neither perfectly flexible nor rigidly fixed, as illustrated by episodes such as the 1992 UK currency crisis, the 1997–98 Asian currency crisis, and the 2001 Latin American currency crisis, where exchange rates proved highly speculative and volatile. The core causes of these crises often lie in government mismanagement, large external and short‑term debts, and weak liquidity management, all of which intensify macroeconomic fragility and heighten the risk of currency turmoil. This raises several fundamental questions: To what extent do currency crises propagate into regional or global economic disruptions? What forces drive such crises, and how should the international monetary system and currency value be re‑conceptualized? Are hedge‑fund‑driven speculative flows primarily responsible for destabilizing the currency system, or do deeper structural forces dominate? This paper addresses these questions by proposing an innovative Four Force Currency Theory that combines a pull–push mechanism with a F‑curve based interpretation of currency dynamics. Our model focuses on four strategic agents G7 economies, central banks, hedge funds, and domestic citizens and analyzes how their interactions jointly determine exchange rates and currency trajectories over time. F‑curve not merely as a trade‑balance analytic tool but as a dynamic currency adjustment mechanism consistent with the Marshall–Lerner condition, this research paper provides a structured framework for understanding exchange‑rate determination, crisis propagation, and policy design.

Keywords

Four-Force Currency Theory, Four-Force Strategic Model, Push–Pull Dynamics, Exchange Rate Determination Mechanism

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    0
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average