
深源地震(深度 ≥ 300 公里)的物理机制是地球动力学研究的前沿。除俯冲带内部过程外,长周期固体潮汐应力(如18.6年月球交点潮)能否系统性地调制其发生,是一个物理机制明确但存在观测争议的科学假说。为对该假说进行定量检验,本研究基于美国地质调查局(USGS)综合地震目录(1950–2024),系统筛选出矩震级(Mw) ≥ 7.0、震源深度 ≥ 300 公里的全球深源地震事件,共90个。通过构建年发生频次时间序列,并采用 Lomb‑Scargle 周期图谱分析与相位随机化显著性检验,我们在18.6年周期附近未检测到超出随机波动水平的显著谱峰(经验 p 值 > 0.2)。统计分析结果不支持“18.6年月球交点潮对全球深源大地震(Mw ≥ 7.0)活动存在简单、主导性调制作用”的假说。这一阴性结果为相关理论模型提供了关键的全球性观测约束,并提示未来的触发机制研究需考虑更复杂的调制模式。
| selected citations These citations are derived from selected sources. This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 0 | |
| popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Average | |
| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Average | |
| impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Average |
