Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ ZENODOarrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
ZENODO
Article . 2021
License: CC BY
Data sources: ZENODO
ZENODO
Article . 2021
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Article . 2021
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
versions View all 2 versions
addClaim

LEVERAGING GEOSPATIAL INFORMATION SYSTEMS FOR PREDICTIVE FLOOD MODELING AND EVIDENCE-DRIVEN DISASTER RISK REDUCTION POLICY DEVELOPMENT

Authors: Oluwatosin Michael Ibrahim, Andy Osagie Egogo-Stanley, Ayomide D Akinyemi;

LEVERAGING GEOSPATIAL INFORMATION SYSTEMS FOR PREDICTIVE FLOOD MODELING AND EVIDENCE-DRIVEN DISASTER RISK REDUCTION POLICY DEVELOPMENT

Abstract

Flooding is among the most frequent and costly natural hazards worldwide, with its impacts increasinglyintensified by climate change, land-use change, and expanding human settlements. In the United States, recurrentflood disasters have revealed persistent gaps in predictive capacity, infrastructure preparedness, and the translationof scientific risk assessments into effective disaster risk reduction (DRR) policies. Addressing these challengesrequires analytical frameworks that not only anticipate flood behavior but also support evidence-driven decisionmaking across planning and governance scales. Geospatial Information Systems (GIS) play a critical role in thisprocess by enabling the integration, analysis, and visualization of spatially explicit flood risk data within apredictive modeling environment. This study explores the use of GIS-based predictive flood modeling to supportevidence-driven DRR policy development. At a broad level, the framework integrates hydrological, topographic,climatic, and land-use datasets to simulate flood susceptibility and forecast potential inundation under varyingrainfall and runoff scenarios. Spatial analytics techniques including terrain analysis, hydrological modeling,spatial regression, and scenario-based simulation are applied to identify evolving flood risk patterns and quantifyuncertainty in hazard projections. The framework is demonstrated through case studies from flood-prone regionsin the United States, illustrating how predictive GIS models can inform policy-relevant insights at local, regional,and state levels. The results show how spatially explicit flood forecasts can guide infrastructure investmentprioritization, land-use regulation, and emergency preparedness strategies. In particular, the study highlights thevalue of GIS outputs in aligning predictive flood intelligence with disaster mitigation planning, zoning decisions,and early warning system design. Beyond operational applications, the research emphasizes the role of GISenabled predictive modeling in strengthening DRR policy formulation by improving transparency, supportinginteragency coordination, and enabling adaptive governance under uncertainty. The findings demonstrate thatGIS-based predictive flood modeling provides a robust foundation for transforming flood risk science intoactionable, evidence-driven disaster risk reduction policies across diverse U.S. contexts

Keywords

Flood risk management, Flood prevention, Flood hazard, Flood forecast, Floods, Flood control

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    0
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green