
2025年我国新生儿792万人,同比下滑17%,仅有维持人口正常更替水平所需数量的44%,锐减的根源在于银行货币垄断制度导致社会分配失衡和经济循环梗阻。这一制度缺陷已成为制约中国式现代化进程的堵点卡点。本文提出用“生育铸币制度”打通经济循环,核心是构建“人本循环”经济理论——以“人的再生产”为循环的起点、终点和核心驱动力,将增量货币经由央行、社保部直达育儿家庭培育民生资本,实现货币主权归民,以此激活刚性物质消费与潜在人力服务需求,推动物质和服务生产的精准响应与就业充分吸纳,实现产销两旺、物质生产可控、资源高效利用的内生性经济增长。其实质是构建“货币主权归民+物质产销平衡+服务消费升级+社会互助深化”的经济循环新生态;核心创新是提出“劳动力价值最大化”下的市场均衡新理论,以此重构经济循环的底层逻辑;目的是推动经济发展回归“人的再生产”本源,服务于人的生存、繁衍与全面发展,实现“幼有所育、壮有所用、老有所养”和民富国强的社会理想。研究表明,生育铸币制度是打通经济循环的系统性解决方案,其“人本循环”的核心逻辑将推动人口、经济、资源、环境的长期协调可持续发展,助力中国式现代化全面实现。
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