Research Question: What conditions reliably produce a durable “phase shift” in human civilization—i.e., a break from the repeating cycle of crisis → reform → relief → forgetting → reconsolidation → relapse? Short Answer (Blunt) A durable break requires three things at once: 1. Irreversible guardrails (automatic brakes) that continue operating when public attention fades. 2. Anti-reconsolidation architecture that prevents power from re-centralizing after the crisis. 3. High-integrity shared reality (information and legitimacy systems) robust to manipulation. If any one of these three fails, the loop restarts.