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Research . 2025
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Research . 2025
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
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Batesonized Red Queen Dynamics: Strategic Frame Uncertainty, Costly Recognition, and Endogenous Evasion in Host–Parasite Arms Races

Authors: Fathi, Kevin;

Batesonized Red Queen Dynamics: Strategic Frame Uncertainty, Costly Recognition, and Endogenous Evasion in Host–Parasite Arms Races

Abstract

The Red Queen hypothesis posits persistent evolutionary change driven by antagonistic in-teractions. We develop a game-theoretic mechanism for endogenous Red Queen cycling thatdoes not require exogenous environmental stochasticity: a parasite strategically selects a payoff-relevant “frame” (e.g., antigenic presentation) against a host that learns adaptively under frameuncertainty, while meta-communication/recognition (verification) is costly and can be mademore costly by the parasite via an endogenous “opacity” choice. Formally, we apply a Bateson-style information structure—frame uncertainty plus penalized clarification—as an operator ona benchmark two-action reversal game. We prove: (i) an Expected Value of Perfect Informa-tion (EVPI) threshold for when costly recognition is used; (ii) a globally attracting period-2orbit in host beliefs under exploitative “moving goalposts” frame selection (a Red Queen attrac-tor); (iii) a sharp tipping threshold for long-run recognition frequency; and (iv) a closed-formpolicy/opacity selection result under convex evasion costs. We conclude with testable predic-tions mapped to time-shift assays and canonical host–parasite systems (e.g., Daphnia–Pasteuria,Potamopyrgus–Microphallus, bacteria–phage).

Keywords

Barbell Strategy, Convexity, Evolutionary Biology, Antifragility, Evolution of Sex, Game Theory, Dynamically-Stabilized Certainty Traps, FOS: Biological sciences, Red Queen Hypothesis, Frame Uncertainty, Bateson Game, Control Theory, Host-Parasite Coevolution

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green