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Journal of Economics Finance and Management Studies
Article . 2025 . Peer-reviewed
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ZENODO
Article . 2025
License: CC BY
Data sources: ZENODO
ZENODO
Article . 2025
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Article . 2025
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
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Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Iraq Under Structural Challenges: An Econometric Analysis for the Period (2004-2024)

Authors: Mohammed Madlool Ibrahim;

Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Iraq Under Structural Challenges: An Econometric Analysis for the Period (2004-2024)

Abstract

This research aims to analyze and describe the reality of the financial and monetary economy in Iraq from 2004 to 2024, a period marked by profound structural transformations. The research focuses on evaluating the effectiveness of monetary policy tools used by the Central Bank of Iraq, specifically the foreign currency auction window, in achieving monetary stability. It also examines the nature of rentier fiscal policy and its dominant impact on macroeconomic variables. Methodologically, the research adopts a descriptive-analytical approach to review the institutional framework and challenges, complemented by a quantitative econometric approach to investigate the dynamic relationships between variables. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model was used to test the short- and long-run relationships between real GDP (as the dependent variable) and the money supply (M2) , government spending, exchange rate, and oil prices (as independent variables). The analysis indicates that fiscal policy, directly linked to oil revenues, has the greatest impact on economic activity, while the effectiveness of monetary policy remains limited due to dollarization , weak credit access for the banking sector, and the dominance of budget financing requirements (Al-Ani, 2020; Central Bank of Iraq, 2023). Accordingly, the research recommends adopting structural reforms aimed at diversifying the economy, strengthening the independence of the central bank, and developing the financial sector to enhance the efficiency of resource allocation and support sustainable growth .

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Keywords

Monetary policy, fiscal policy, rentier economy, ARDL model , Central Bank of Iraq, dollarization , Iraq .

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Top 10%
Average
Average
Green
gold