
We present TALENT LLM, a system for multi-label talent prediction in children based on artifact analysis. Using a dataset of 5,173 analyses across 479 children (both synthetic and real platform users), we compare fine-tuned LLM predictions against calibrated classical baselines (Logistic Regression, LightGBM) across 7 talent categories. Our experiments demonstrate exceptional baseline performance (ROC-AUC 0.991–0.999, F1-macro 0.973–0.997) with effective probability calibration via Platt scaling, achieving ECE as low as 0.002. We introduce temporal evaluation (S1→S2 prediction) on 349 children with 2+ analyses, achieving F1-macro 0.833 for predicting future talent profiles from earlier assessments. The dataset includes 306 fine-grained talent categories and 8 artifact types (text, image, musical, audio, video, PDF, and others). SHAP analysis reveals interpretable feature importance patterns strongly aligned with educational theory.
LLM, machine learning, benchmark, children, educational AI, calibration, talent prediction, multi-label classification
LLM, machine learning, benchmark, children, educational AI, calibration, talent prediction, multi-label classification
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