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ZENODO
Article . 2025
License: CC BY
Data sources: ZENODO
ZENODO
Article . 2025
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Article . 2025
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
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A Time Series Analysis of Housing Prices, Monetary Policy, and Stock Market in Pakistan

Authors: Rashid Jatoi; Ghazala Tunio (Ph.D); Ahmed Shafique Joyo (Ph.D);

A Time Series Analysis of Housing Prices, Monetary Policy, and Stock Market in Pakistan

Abstract

This study analyses the relationship between monetary policy and housing prices in Pakistan. It also includes factors such as the stock market index and inflation, in addition to interest rates and housing prices, during the years 2016 to 2021. The dependent variable is housing prices, and the independent variables are the discount rate, inflation and the stock market index. These relationships are analysed in the study using the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). Findings indicate that monetary policy cannot reduce housing prices in the short term. A short-term, positive, and unidirectional link exists between interest rates and house prices in the Pakistani context. Moreover, inflation has a short-term negative impact on house prices. Further, a bidirectional causation is found between home prices and inflation in Pakistan. Moreover, the stock market index in Pakistan has a long-term, unidirectional negative correlation with the housing prices in Pakistan. The study highlights the relationship between inflation and housing prices, providing valuable implications for policymakers and investors in emerging markets, particularly in the context of Pakistan's real estate sector.

Keywords

Houses prices, Inflation, Interest rate, Monetary policy, Stock market index

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green