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Conference object . 2025
License: CC BY
Data sources: ZENODO
ZENODO
Conference object . 2025
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Conference object . 2025
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
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Interpretable Factor Models with Machine Learning

Authors: Ayodele, Olamide;

Interpretable Factor Models with Machine Learning

Abstract

Understanding the sources of cross-sectional variation in asset returns remains central to financial economics. This paper introduces a \textit{Cluster-Based Factor Model} (CBFM) that integrates hierarchical clustering and locally linear embedding (LLE) to construct parsimonious, data-driven factors from characteristics-managed returns. The clustering stage identifies groups of highly correlated characteristics managed returns, while the subsequent LLE stage extracts low-dimensional nonlinear factors within each cluster. Factor loadings are then estimated through a neural network framework, enabling flexible, time-varying relationships between latent factors and asset returns. Empirical evaluation using Fama–French 25 value-weighted portfolios shows that the CBFM achieves nearly twice the explanatory and predictive $R^2$ of traditional economic and categorical groupings. Compared with benchmark models such as RP–PCA and standard PCA, the CBFM yields smaller and statistically insignificant alphas, demonstrating superior pricing accuracy and reduced overfitting. These findings highlight the efficacy of data-driven clustering for uncovering the true structure of systematic risk.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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