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Two Decades of Community Responses Reveal a Consistent Increase in Species Occurrences in South‐Eastern Pacific Rocky Shores

Authors: Orostica, Mauricio; Arancibia, Paulina; Ovaskainen, Otso; Navarrete, Sergio Andres; Broitman, Bernardo;

Two Decades of Community Responses Reveal a Consistent Increase in Species Occurrences in South‐Eastern Pacific Rocky Shores

Abstract

ABSTRACT Aim Understanding how diverse communities respond to environmental fluctuations is a central challenge in ecology. Here, we assessed how communities responded to environmental variation over the past 23 years and evaluated the extent to which these responses can be associated with taxonomic relationships, as well as biological and ecological species traits. Location Central portion of the Humboldt Upwelling Ecosystem, with 22 rocky shore survey sites spanning 8° of latitude (28° S–36° S). Time Period 2000–2023. Major Taxa Studied Intertidal zone communities. Methods We used joint species distribution models to integrate quantitative survey data, satellite sea surface temperature (SST) as a proxy for environmental conditions, taxonomic information and species biological traits along a latitudinal gradient with heterogeneous thermal conditions. Results Our proxy for environmental variation revealed weak and non‐significant SST cooling at central sites, whereas sites near 30° S showed slight warming trends. Taxonomic relationships and individual species traits were weakly associated with their collective responses to SST variability. However, we identified a consistent increase in the occurrence of both macroalgal and invertebrate species across the region. The occurrence of macroalgal species was more sensitive to SST variation than invertebrates, with responses shifting from positive at equatorward sites to increasingly negative at poleward sites. Patterns of species co‐occurrence were strongly dependent on spatial scale, particularly among invertebrates. Main Conclusions Species occurrences increased across the region, but these responses were not significantly associated with taxonomic relatedness or with easily assigned species traits. This pattern likely indicates comparatively low niche conservatism within these communities in relation to SST responses, while other structuring processes—such as species interactions—are not well captured by the traits examined. As other studies have detected slight cooling trends over the past two decades, our results suggest that the lack of community‐wide reorganisation reflects the absence of a clear environmental driver.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
Green