Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ ZENODOarrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
ZENODO
Article . 2025
License: CC BY
Data sources: ZENODO
ZENODO
Article . 2025
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Article . 2025
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
versions View all 2 versions
addClaim

FORECASTING HIGHER EDUCATION ADMISSIONS IN AZERBAIJAN USING THE LSTM MODEL

Authors: Ismayilov H.;

FORECASTING HIGHER EDUCATION ADMISSIONS IN AZERBAIJAN USING THE LSTM MODEL

Abstract

This study presents a time series forecasting approach for predicting student admissions to higher education institutions in Azerbaijan utilizing the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model, a type of recurrent neural network (RNN) particularly effective for sequential data. As demand for higher education continues to grow, accurate forecasting is essential for informed policy-making and resource allocation. The dataset used spans from the academic year 2000/2001 to 2023/2024 and was preprocessed to handle missing values and ensure temporal consistency. The LSTM model was implemented in Python using TensorFlow and Keras libraries. Data were normalized using MinMaxScaler, and a one-step-ahead forecasting approach was adopted, where previous years’ admission counts were used to predict the subsequent year. The model was trained on historical data and used to forecast admissions for the academic year 2024/2025. Results show that the LSTM model is capable of capturing underlying temporal patterns and trends in student admission data. The forecasted admission count for 2024/2025 is 56,247 students, which aligns closely with recent years’ trends, indicating the model’s reliability. This approach illustrates the potential of deep learning methods like LSTM in the domain of education analytics and can support decision-makers in planning and policy formulation.

Keywords

Higher Education, Forecasting, Time Series, LSTM, Machine Learning, Deep Learning.

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    0
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green