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https://doi.org/10.31219/osf.i...
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License: CC BY
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Preprint . 2025
License: CC BY
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Project Star Forge: A Planetary-Scale Foresight Engine for Global Risk Simulation

Authors: Thomas Harding;

Project Star Forge: A Planetary-Scale Foresight Engine for Global Risk Simulation

Abstract

Star Forge is a nonprofit, open-science initiative to prototype a planetary-scale foresight engine. The architecture combines a central orchestration core, a cross-domain knowledge graph, and plug-and-play specialist simulation modules (climate, economic, security, etc.). A Fork Cascade Engine explores branching what-if scenarios and cascading systemic risks, while an emotional-cognitive layer introduces realistic human decision biases. The paper presents the high-level design, validation roadmap, ethical safeguards, and a five-year nonprofit development plan. Star Forge is released under CC-BY-NC 4.0 as defensive prior art to foster collaboration and prevent proprietary enclosure.

Keywords

Global catastrophic risk, Self-improving systems, Existential risk, Early warning system, global risk, GPT, Natural Disasters/economics, Flood forecast, NOAA, AI agents, Grok 4, Autonomous decision-making

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
hybrid
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