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ZENODO
Article . 2024
License: CC BY
Data sources: ZENODO
ZENODO
Article . 2024
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Article . 2024
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
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Evaluating Regression and Ensemble Models for Financial Forecasting: The Case of Apple Stock

Authors: He, Runhai; Zhang, Zhenxing; Zhang, Shoujing; Song, Qingqing;

Evaluating Regression and Ensemble Models for Financial Forecasting: The Case of Apple Stock

Abstract

This paper investigates the performance of a variety of machine learning models for Apple stock price prediction, covering linear regression, ridge regression, Lasso regression, SVM, weighted average, stacked model, and random forest methods. The dataset contains daily closing prices of Apple stock for the period from 2010 to 2024, using data from the first 13 years for model training and data from the last year for testing. The study results show that after many times of parameters tuning and testing, all models except Random Forest exhibit good prediction results, with simple models such as linear regression and ridge regression performing particularly well with fewer features, while the Random Forest model exhibits severe overfitting/underfitting problems. This study provides an empirical reference for the application of machine learning in financial time series forecasting, which can help to improve financial forecasting ability and investment decision-making in the future.

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Keywords

Stock Prediction, Machine Learning, Random Forest, SVM, Ensemble Model

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
hybrid